A Southern California investor appears to be extending its Bay Area buying spree by closing in on a discounted deal for an office in one of the nation’s hardest hit real estate markets in the wake of the pandemic.

Los Angeles-based BH Properties intends to pay $13.5 million for a 111,000-square-foot office in downtown San Francisco at 989 Market St. in a deal expected to close next week, people familiar with the transaction tell CoStar News. That price would mark a nearly 80% discount to the $61.2 million that the office sold for about a decade ago, when ABS Real Estate Investments acquired the site. The deal hasn’t closed so nothing is final.

Office valuations are declining across the country as investors grapple with higher interest rates and low tenant demand. Properties in the U.S. West have been among the hardest hit in recent years, with dense California markets such as San Francisco and Los Angeles dealing with a reduced workforce.

Valuations for office buildings in the U.S. West are off about 5.1% in the past year, according to CoStar Group’s most recent Commercial Repeat-Sale Indices. The report showed the region posted the second greatest price declines during the second quarter, with office valuations off 1.8% from the first quarter, slightly better than the 1.9% decline seen in the U.S. South.

Across all property types, the West came in last in terms of second quarter price performance. Countrywide, the office sector was the hardest hit during the second quarter with valuations off 2.9% from the prior quarter and 8.1% from the same quarter last year.

The downtown San Francisco office is the latest to showcase dwindling price devaluations in the region; San Francisco offices lost nearly 10% in value in the last year, trailing only San Jose for the largest decline in California, according to CoStar data, and ranking among the hardest hit in the country.

The largely vacant office counts just Blick Arts Materials as a tenant, according to CoStar data; the company occupies 13,000 square feet.

The deal, reported earlier by the San Francisco Chronicle, marks BH Properties’ third acquisition in the Bay Area in the past year. Last June, it shelled out $65 million for Oakland’s 60-acre Holy Names University campus, and two months later, it paid roughly the same amount for the 200,000-square-foot Anchorage Square shopping center in San Francisco. The mall last sold for $95.5 million in 2004.

BH Properties paid about $123 per square foot for its latest Bay Area buy, lower than some of the discounted office deals to take place in San Francisco in recent months.

Last week, England-based Wellington College paid $23.5 million, or $371 per square foot, for 99 Rhode Island St. with plans to turn Airbnb’s former headquarters into a new school. Earlier this year, New York Life Insurance bought the 70,000-square-foot 410 Townsend for $22 million, or $278 per square foot, according to previous reporting by CoStar News.

San Francisco’s vacancy rate sharply rose in the wake of the pandemic and it remains at a historic high of 22.2%, largely caused by remote work trends and technology tenant reductions. That, coupled with higher interest rates and a decreased lending appetite for offices across the country, has served as a downward force on office values.

In a recent example, a national lender is taking over a vacant 449,000-square-foot campus at 350-380 Ellis St. elsewhere in the Bay Area in Mountain View, and pegged the valuation of the office campus at nearly $121 million, a far cry from the $357.5 million price that the property sold for in 2021.

Source: Costar

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Whether you’re saving to buy a house, waiting for mortgage rates to fall or planning a big move in the next few years, researching the market now can help you decide where to invest later.

“While no one can predict the market with absolute certainty, the patterns we’re seeing now offer some valuable clues,” said Yawar Charlie, estates director of Aaron Kirman Group at Christie’s International Real Estate and cast member of CNBC’s “Listing Impossible.”

Based on current market trends, GOBankingRates spoke with experts who shared which states to avoid buying property in the next five years and why.

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California

Stunning scenery, a vibrant culture and near-perfect weather make California so appealing, but the affordability is an issue.

“As a real estate broker in Los Angeles, I’ve observed some trends that suggest certain states might become less attractive for homebuyers over the next five years,” Charlie told us.

“It’s not just the high cost of living here that’s a problem. The state also struggles with issues like wildfires and droughts, which can make homeownership even more challenging and expensive,” he explained.

“Additionally, the tech boom, especially in areas like the Bay Area, has driven housing prices to astronomical levels, pushing many to seek refuge in more affordable states.”

Rachel Stringer, a Realtor at Raleigh Realty, added, “Demand continues to outpace supply, keeping inventory tight drastically.

“This supply crunch, coupled with slow wage growth, raises affordability concerns over time,” she explained. “As costs rise faster than incomes, keeping up with mortgage payments could become increasingly difficult.”

Florida

For many retirees, Florida is a sunny paradise, but one bad storm can quickly make things a nightmare.

“The state’s location makes it extremely vulnerable to hurricanes and rising sea levels driven by climate change,” Stringer told us.

“Serious considerations include rebuilding costs, disruptions and escalating insurance premiums due to storm damage. Coastal properties may lose substantial value if they become uninhabitable due to rising sea levels.”

Illinois

Known for its big cities and expansive farmlands, Illinois is a major manufacturing center for food, chemicals, rubber products and more.

According to Charlie, though, the state is in trouble:

“Illinois, and specifically Chicago, faces significant financial woes,” he said. “The state has some of the highest property taxes in the country, and Chicago is grappling with a high crime rate and budget deficits, leading to cuts in essential services and increased taxes. These financial strains make it difficult for residents to justify staying when they could find a safer and more financially stable environment elsewhere.”

Louisiana

With its reputation for good times, delicious food and rich culture, Louisiana is a state people enjoy. However, according to Tony Mariotti, founder of RubyHome, you might want to rethink real estate investments there.

“Louisiana is highly susceptible to climate change impacts, such as hurricanes and flooding. These risks can lead to higher insurance costs and potential property damage,” he said.

“The state also struggles with lower job growth and economic diversification, making it less attractive for long-term investments. Infrastructure issues add to the challenges of property ownership here.”

New Jersey

New Jersey is another East Coast state you might steer clear of when buying property.

“Besides the high property taxes, New Jersey is dealing with an exodus of major corporations, which impacts job availability,” Charlie explained. “The state also has some of the highest health insurance premiums in the country, adding another layer of financial stress for residents. Furthermore, the congestion and traffic, especially for those commuting into New York City, can be a daily frustration.”

New York

Another infamously high-priced state is New York, which Charlie revealed has major issues beyond the cost factor.

“Beyond the high property taxes and cost of living in New York City, there’s also the matter of aging infrastructure,” he noted. “The subway system, for example, has been notorious for delays and breakdowns, making daily commutes a headache. Plus, the pandemic has shifted many jobs to remote work, reducing the need to live in or near the city and prompting many to relocate to suburban or even rural areas.”

West Virginia

West Virginia is known as a coal country, but the industry is declining, which has  “economically devastated many parts,” Stringer said. “As jobs dry up, the population drains in these small towns, leaving little demand for housing. Homeowners may struggle to find buyers willing to pay a fair price.”

Source: Yahoo News

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