Germany Archives - Amora Escapes https://amoraescapes.com/category/germany/ Property 101 Tue, 10 Oct 2023 09:20:36 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://amoraescapes.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Amora-Escapes-Favico.png Germany Archives - Amora Escapes https://amoraescapes.com/category/germany/ 32 32 The German Property Crisis Claims Its First Big Victims https://amoraescapes.com/2023/10/26/the-german-property-crisis-claims-its-first-big-victims/ Thu, 26 Oct 2023 09:18:16 +0000 https://amoraescapes.com/?p=4824   In July, Nuremberg’s mayor celebrated the final beam being placed atop the redeveloped Quelle…

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In July, Nuremberg’s mayor celebrated the final beam being placed atop the redeveloped Quelle building, a monumental 1950s symbol of postwar Germany’s economic revival. Revamped with offices, shops and homes, a big part of the giant complex was slated to open next year.

In recent weeks, however, the site’s developer, Gerch Group, which has €4 billion ($6.6 billion) of projects under construction, has filed for insolvency proceedings, along with one of its project companies linked to the development. The opening date is now in doubt.

The Quelle building in Nuremburg, whose developer has filed for insolvency. Bloomberg

It is yet another blow to a property market reeling from the end of the cheap-money era, but it also shows who is most vulnerable to the shakeout. While investor fears during the current real estate crisis have centred on landlords, the travails of Gerch and its ilk show that developers – the firms that own the building projects – are the ones in imminent danger.

“Project developers are struggling with the increased construction costs, increased interest rates and the drop in prices,” says Marlies Raschke, co-head of restructuring and insolvency at law firm Noerr. “We’ve seen several of them filing for insolvency in the last weeks and we expect more.”

Alongside Gerch, Munich’s Euroboden, which touts star architects such as David Chipperfield among its collaborators, is in preliminary insolvency proceedings. Project Immobilien Group filed for insolvency in August along with many of its project companies, and some of the work is being tendered for new contractors, a spokesperson for the preliminary administrator says. The three firms did not respond to requests for comment.

Developers around the world face similar woes. In Australia, Porter Davis is among home builders that have gone into liquidation this year after surging costs and falling demand. In Sweden, a rise in bankruptcies has been driven by a construction slump, while in Finland housing starts could plunge to levels not seen since the 1940s, according to the country’s construction lobby.

It’s a rapid change in fortunes after the years of rock-bottom interest rates, when money poured into property as investors hunted for yield. Developers like Gerch could comfortably load up projects with cheap debt and sell into a market where prices just kept rising.

The mood is very different now. German real estate transactions for offices are at their lowest point on a 12-month rolling basis since at least 2014, according to property firm Savills. Vonovia SE, a big landlord, warned in its financial results that new construction developments are “barely viable”.

“The speed of correction is significant,” says Henning Koch, boss of Commerz Real, one of Germany’s biggest property investors. “The recession in the German real estate market started one-and-a-half years ago and now in the last two to three months we’ve seen more and more developers go bust.”

Developers are particularly vulnerable because of a collapse in land values, which makes projects riskier. As interest rates have soared, investors have demanded higher rental yields to compensate, which in turn pushes down the price they will pay for a finished site. Construction costs are also spiralling and developers are having to put more money aside for unexpected expenses.

Taken together, all these factors depress the underlying value of developer land. It upends the economics of property development, too, with the price drop meaning some companies may lose money just by finishing a building.

In one example, Aggregate Holdings SA, the diminished real estate empire run by Cevdet Caner, had to hand over the keys of Berlin’s QH Track project to creditor Oaktree Capital Management. Hit by cost overruns, it tried to negotiate with lenders to fund the project through to completion but the talks failed.

Unfinished state

Germany’s development boom was fuelled in part by mezzanine lenders including Corestate Capital who were willing to make chunky loans to developers with little equity. That worked when part-built or yet-to-start projects could be forward sold to pension funds happy to pay ahead for a completed site. The market correction has left developers without agreed forward sales in limbo, saddled with pricey debt and runaway costs.

“Normally, we’re looking for fresh money from the existing financing parties – from shareholders, investors — to try to complete the project,” says Christoph Morgen at Brinkmann & Partner, who’s acted as an insolvency administrator for some smaller developers. “It usually causes a loss of time, it interrupts the building process. And all the time, it’s getting more expensive.”

Creditors are taking note. One senior German banker says their bank is trying to establish ties to some of the country’s stronger developers, so it can tap them to take over if a building runs into trouble.

Grandiose developments in an unfinished state can also become civic eyesores, and a political problem if left dormant too long. In Nuremburg, the mayor’s office says it’s “confident” the Q project will continue, after receiving positive noises from the various owners of the different parts of the vast complex.

“The owners want to realise their projects without consideration of Gerch Group’s insolvency,” the mayor’s office says in a statement. “On the city’s side, we support by continuing all planning and administrative processes.”

Pensioner pain

The exposure of retail investors and smaller pension funds, who piled into real estate during the boom times, adds another awkward political dimension. Their involvement can make negotiations complicated, especially if new money’s needed. Noerr’s Raschke says German pension funds – such as those for doctors, lawyers or dentists – may be limited in providing more liquidity for regulatory reasons.

Some retail investors are exposed to developers via high-yield bonds. Euroboden noteholders, for instance, are readying themselves for an upcoming creditor meeting. This class of debt holder is often in a weaker position than other creditors. While bank finance is usually tied to projects or buildings, many junk bonds are issued at a holding company level with little security – worsening the chance of getting money back.

“From the perspective of bondholders, the interest received on those bonds in recent years was much too low,” says Daniel Bauer, chairman of the board of SdK, a German investor group. “They were taking on an equity-like risk.”

Developer defaults will hurt the broader property industry, too. Residential builders are already missing out on work, with more than one in five construction companies surveyed by the Ifo Institute reporting cancelled projects. That’s the worst since the survey started in 1991.

“It’s a warning signal for the building-materials and construction sector,” says Ralf Moldenhauer, a senior partner at Boston Consulting Group in Frankfurt. “We expect to see more stress in that sector as well.”

Source : FinancialReview

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Market Flop: How Germany’s Property Boom Ended https://amoraescapes.com/2023/09/27/market-flop-how-germanys-property-boom-ended/ Wed, 27 Sep 2023 01:16:54 +0000 https://amoraescapes.com/?p=4722 MUNICH – It has been a tumultuous year for one prominent German property developer: his efforts…

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It has been a tumultuous year for one prominent German property developer: his efforts to sell his penthouse atop a Nazi-era air raid shelter have stalled, and just weeks ago his firm filed for insolvency.

The one-two punch for the developer, Stefan Hoeglmaier, and his company, Euroboden, mirror the travails of the broader property sector across Europe’s largest economy as it suffers its worst slump in decades.

For years, low interest rates fueled a global boom, igniting interest in German property, seen as safe and stable as the country.

A sharp rise in rates, and soaring energy and building costs, put an end to the run. That has tipped a string of developers into insolvency and frozen deals, and pushed prices down, prompting the industry to appeal to Chancellor Olaf Scholz for help.

“We’re heading for the wall at breakneck speed. The first developers have fallen and more will follow,” said Tillmann Peeters, an insolvency lawyer with FalkenSteg.

Developers’ fortunes, including those of Euroboden, changed in 2022 when the European Central Bank began to increase rates, making it harder for to borrow and to find buyers for projects.

A statement from Euroboden management said the market environment for the company had “deteriorated quite considerably.”

The health of Germany’s property sector — Europe’s biggest property investment market outside of Britain — is critical, making up roughly a fifth of output and providing one in 10 jobs. New building during the first half of the year nearly halved from the past two years.

In 2010, in the early days of a years-long boom, Hoeglmaier bought a dilapidated above-ground bunker in a posh Munich neighborhood from the government to convert it into luxury apartments.

He and his partner, Oscar Loya — a Eurovision Song Contest star — took for themselves the three-floor penthouse, complete with music room and gold-leaf walls in the toilet.

During the decade that followed, Euroboden completed projects with renowned architects, generated tens of millions of euros in profit, raised millions from investors, and expanded to Berlin and beyond.

The penthouse made the cover of Germany’s Architectural Digest, and the couple hosted “bunker acoustic sessions,” with video clips posted to Loya’s Facebook page.

Loya, who owns stakes in two Euroboden subsidiaries, also serenaded staff at the company’s 20-year anniversary party in 2019.

The site of a project planned by Euroboden, a property developer that has filed for insolvency, in Munich, Germany
The site of a project planned by Euroboden, a property developer that has filed for insolvency, in Munich, Germany | REUTERS

The property boom came to an abrupt end last year when the speed of interest rate increases caught many in the sector off guard.

Euroboden issued a profit warning in October. Late last year, Hoeglmaier put his penthouse on the market, and Euroboden closed its Frankfurt office.

In late July, Euroboden called a meeting to ask investors to restructure €92 million ($100 million) in outstanding bonds, but after they balked at the new conditions, the company cancelled the meeting days later and filed for insolvency.

“It was relatively clear that bondholders would not accept the proposal,” said Daniel Bauer, chief of the SdK association of capital investors that is representing nearly 800 Euroboden investors with €11 million in bonds.

The person overseeing the insolvency, Oliver Schartl, said that the case was relatively complex and in an early phase.

Throughout, Euroboden has blamed the pandemic, the war in Ukraine, inflation and interest rates — the same toxic mix that has inflicted pain on the entire industry.

Hoeglmaier declined to be interviewed for this story saying he needed privacy to focus on business, while Loya did not respond to requests for comment.

Euroboden is not an isolated case. Several other German property developers filed for insolvency in recent months.

Duesseldorf-based Gerch, with €4 billion of projects, is Germany’s biggest casualty so far.

Property professionals fear the downturn in Germany could prove deeper than the 1990s crash following the dash for property in eastern Germany after the fall of the Berlin wall.

“The rise in building costs, shift away from office working and rising interest rates mean we’ll see many more developers run out of steam,” said Christoph Niering, who chairs the umbrella body for insolvency administrators, VID.

“Most people did not see this crisis coming. It is now surprising how quickly it is unfolding.”

Lenders too were slow to respond.

In 2020, as the property market heated up, the Bundesbank warned the country’s banks, for whom property accounted for about 70% of all domestic loans, of the risks. In August, it warned again that property remained overvalued, despite recent falls, expressing hope, however, that low unemployment meant most borrowers could keep up loan repayments.

Germany and Sweden are the hardest hit on continental Europe by a global property rout that has sucked in homebuilders in China, from Evergrande to Country Garden.

Hoeglmaier’s bunker was originally erected in the early 1940s to shield residents from allied bombs. After the war, nearby grounds served as camps for imprisoned Nazis and then refugees, and local hairdressers and hotels sought permission to post their ads on its bullet-pocked facade.

Since 2005, Germany has sold some 320 bunkers.

The 380-square meter (4,090 square foot) penthouse, which occupies the fifth through seventh floors and includes a rooftop terrace, originally listed for just under €13 million. The price dropped to €11 million earlier this year, but it is still one of the most expensive apartments in Germany.

“If interested,” the listing reads “some of the furniture and lamps can be purchased.”

Source : TheJapanTimes

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Commerz Real Is Creating A New Urban Reality With Circular Real Estate Projects https://amoraescapes.com/2023/09/24/commerz-real-is-creating-a-new-urban-reality-with-circular-real-estate-projects/ Sun, 24 Sep 2023 00:59:18 +0000 https://amoraescapes.com/?p=4713   The work from home trend has impacted real estate around the world, and in…

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The work from home trend has impacted real estate around the world, and in some places, up to 50% of office space is lying dormant. Central London, for example, has 31 million square feet of empty work space, the equivalent of 60 Gherkin skyscrapers. Last year, the vacancy rate for office real estate in Munich, Germany, rose for the fourth year in a row.

The good news is that investors are seeing a plethora of creative opportunities for preventing downtowns from becoming ghost towns.

The purpose is to repurpose

“Using obsolete office space for other functions such as apartments or small-scale commercial purposes eliminates the need to use raw materials to build a new building,” said Nikolaus Schmidt, global head of technology and innovation at Commerz Real, a global leader in investment and asset management services in the real estate, infrastructure, and renewable energy sectors.

Speaking at the recent SAP and SAP Fioneer Financial Services Forum Europe in Frankfurt, Germany, Schmidt went on to explain that retrofitting an empty space into a useful area aligns with the principles of the circular economy, a concept often symbolized by the infinity symbol to indicate that materials and products should be used again and again to provide continuous value.

“Breaking down a building to build something new is just about the worst thing you can do,” said Schmidt. “Transformation starts with the investment itself. In the past, clients only cared about the return on the investment. That is changing. Now, the investment should also be generating something good in the end.”

Schmidt cited the example of Commerz Real’s project to rebuild the Tucher Park in Munich, one of the company’s assets in its hausInvest open-ended real estate fund, one of the largest in Europe.

The mixed-use property, in the world-famous English Garden, consists of 10 properties in an area of 127,000 square meters. The park, developed mostly in the 60s and 80s, comprises seven office buildings, a 10,800 square meter computer center, a sports facility, a 5-star Hilton Hotel, and 1,500 parking spaces.

The company’s vision is to make Tucher Park a role model for sustainable redevelopment. “This is a place where people can work, live and spend their free time,” said Schmidt. “The idea is to create a circular city, incorporating the past into the future while respecting the needs of the inhabitants and nature.”

One third of the space will be transformed into affordable housing for rent, one third will become refurbished energy-efficient office space, and the rest will be converted for commercial purposes and sports and leisure facilities. Existing green spaces and trees will be maintained, and renewable energy will be generated onsite.

“There is a large data center on the property that’s being rebuilt, and the heat it produces will be used to heat the buildings,” Schmidt explained. “ We are also installing a new water treatment plant.”

The Commerz Real team is constantly thinking of ways to get full usage out of every element on a property. There is a huge focus on renewable materials, from wood to metal or concrete. The company is working with the city of Munich to embed circular concepts into new projects. The approach favored by Commerz Real is to tackle urban renovation block by block to shape a diverse mix for housing, work, community use, and green space.

According to Schmidt, from an investment perspective, that’s not a simple endeavor, because you have to look for areas where you can buy the whole quarter. Blocks are not owned by one person, but maybe hundreds of people who may each have their own house or apartment: “That’s why Tucher Park is so interesting for us; we were able to buy the whole place and renovate in one go,” he explained.

Collaborating for circularity

Setting up and keeping such huge projects on track requires a special kind of collaboration. While people are expecting renewable energy sources to power the future, they often are not aware of the enormous effort and cost of making it happen.

Schmidt pointed out that achieving 107 GW, the sum total of all the EU nations’ individual offshore energy targets for 2030, would require enough offshore wind parks to compensate for around 500 nuclear power plants. To say that greater regional collaboration is needed for meeting these targets is putting it mildly.

“We’re not building the necessary infrastructure by ourselves,” he said. Commerz Real is working with several developers across various nations and sourcing the money from a variety of B2C or B2B funds and institutional financing. “From the political and organizational perspective, we need to overcome the ‘not invented here’ syndrome and get better at collaborating, keeping an open mind, and joining forces to meet common goals across regions.”

For Schmidt, the new mindset starts right in his own department which is responsible for digitalizing Commerz Real. The company’s business transformation was achieved with SAP S/4HANA, SAP Business Technology Platform (SAP BTP), and the RISE with SAP offering, which is comprised of tailor-made ERP software, transformation services, business analytics, and partner expertise to help companies transition smoothly to the cloud.

“Our vision is not to be tech-driven, but to be powered by technology,” said Schmidt. “We are not SAP-centric, we are data-centric, running on SAP to best leverage our data and analytical capabilities. For us, technology is the foundation for delivering our wide range of business services, to ultimately make the world a better place.”

Source : Forbes

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